Okay, okay, it is 2011 at this point, but the results are headlines as 2010 because they match with the 2010 predictions made in 2010 for the 2010 season. Also, the results are not all-haiku, just the predictions were. A more accurate title would be “Results for the All-Haiku Predictions made in 2010″.
Before the bowl games commenced for this past college football season, I made some predictions. Here, for your reading enjoyment, is the tally of those predictions. Note that the results are not in haiku form, in contrast to the predictions.
Here is the list (correct predictions in green, incorrect in red):
BYU over UTEP
Northern Illinois over Fresno State
Ohio over Troy
Louisville over Southern Miss
Boise St. over Utah
San Diego State over Navy
Hawaii over Tulsa
Toledo over Florida International
Air Force over Georgia Tech
N.C. State over West Virginia
Missouri over Iowa
Maryland over East Carolina
Baylor over Illinois
Oklahoma State over Arizona
SMU over Army
Kansas State over Syracuse
North Carolina over Tennessee
Nebraska over Washington
South Florida over Clemson
Notre Dame over Miami (F)
Georgia over UCF
South Carolina over Florida State
Northwestern over Texas Tech
Penn State over Florida
Michigan State over Alabama
Mississippi State over Michigan
Wisconsin over TCU
Oklahoma over Connecticut
Stanford over Virginia Tech
Arkansas over Ohio State
Miami (O) over Middle Tenn. State
LSU over Texas A&M
Pittsburgh over Kentucky
Nevada over Boston College
Oregon over Auburn
And here are the results of the various forecasting methodologies (see the first year for description of the methodologies) (also, use the word methodologies if you want to sound important; methods would work just as well and is shorter) :
- Some Blog Site picks were 19-16 (better than last year!)
- CBS120 picks were 21-14
- HTW was 16-19 for the official Home Team Wins (HTW)
- HTW was 15-20 for the Geographical Home Team (GHT)
- Isaacson-Tarbell Postulate (ITP) was 21-14 if using HTW
- ITP was 23-12 if using GHT
I won’t analyze the results as much as I did last year, mainly because I had more time and more sleep last year. But it was a bad year again for GHT. And my predictions keep getting better. At this rate, I’ll be 100% correct by the year 2018.
Thoughts on the season’s results
- That was a nice playoff round. Now let’s have the championship game between TCU and Auburn.
- The B1G TEN is going to have a championship game next year, so we’ll know who their best team will be. Not that they’ll be playing for the national title, but it is a step in the right direction.
- On the other hand, the Big 12 had better hope for a clear winner of its conference.
- You know what? – we should just skip the national championship game and give the title to the winner of the SEC.
Since the strength of the conference has something to do with the results, I thought I would tally each conference’s bowl game record for the 2010 (and the first bit of 2011) season.
- ACC: 3-5
- Big 10: 3-5
- Big 12: 3-5
- Big East: 4-2
- Independent: 2-1
- MAC: 2-2
- MW: 4-1
- PAC10: 2-2
- SEC: 5-5
- Sun Belt: 2-1
- USA: 3-4
- WAC: 2-2
So the best conference was the Mt. West (they won 80% of their bowl games again) and the worst was the ACC or Big Ten or Big 12 because they won only 38% of their bowl games.
Or maybe the worst was the MAC or the WAC or the PAC. If your conference ended in “AC”, then you had a bad year because you didn’t qualify very many teams.
Perhaps you could say that the SEC was the best because they had ten teams go to bowls (again) and won the championship (again). Or you could say the SEC was just the most popular conference.
My vote is for the Mountain West, especially next year when Boise St. joins them. If a MWC team goes to a bowl game, they usually win.
Then a champion came out from the armies of the Philistines named Goliath, from Gath, whose height was six cubits and a span.
1 Samuel 17:4