Good Point

During the NHL playoffs, I heard the announcer recite a statistic that went something like this:

The team that scores the first goal in the game goes on to win the game about 80% of the time.

They then went on saying how it was important for their team to score first so they would have the advantage. They were implying that scoring the first goal improves a team’s chances of winning.

I think they were using that statistic backwards.

It’s not that scoring the goal makes you a better team; it’s that the better team usually scores the first goal.

Think about it – the better team usually wins the game. So we know that the better team usually scores more goals. If both teams have an even distribution of goals across time, then the team with more goals is more likely to score the first goal. Also the last goal.

What good is that statistic? How does it help anyone? Should teams concentrate on scoring the first goal because it will mean they’ll win more games?

I can produce a statistic that is equally helpful – the team that scores more points wins 100% of those games.

Don’t worry about scoring first. Worry about scoring more goals. Chances are good that some of those goals will be before the other team’s goals.

In summary, scoring first is not going to win you a game – being a better team is.

But I have written very boldly to you on some points so as to remind you again, because of the grace that was given me from God,

Romans 15:15

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This little article thingy was written by Some Guy sometime around 6:36 am and has been carefully placed in the Sports category.

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