Football Guesser Results – 2014

It is time once again to update Some Blog Site readers on the results of my Some Fun Site project to create a more accurate football prediction method.

The 2014 NFL season is over, and here are the most accurate methods for predicting regular-season game results (wins-losses):

  • MPWLS: 69%
  • MPWHFA: 66%
  • ITPLS: 66%

MPWHFA is listed first because it was one game better than ITPLS.

This year saw the addition of MPWHFA to the prediction methods. “MPWHFA” stands for More Points Wins with Home Field Advantage and contends that the team that will win is the team that scores more points than its opponents, adding a few points to the home team. It did great, capturing the long-term title among prediction methods. (For the ideas behind the methods, please visit the Some Fun Site page.)

And if you think you have a formula that can predict the winner of an NFL game better than 63.8% of the time, let me know and I’ll add it to the list.

The chiefs of Edom will be terrified, the leaders of Moab will be seized with trembling, the people of Canaan will melt away;

Exodus 15:15

Digg Del.icio.us Reddit Stumble Upon

This little article thingy was written by Some Guy sometime around 6:28 am and has been carefully placed in the Sports category.

Leave a Reply

Comment moderation: please do not submit your comment multiple times, as comments are not posted until I approve them. If your comment never appears, that probably means that I didn't like your comment (maybe off topic, maybe spam, maybe not family-friendly, etc.).