NFL in April, 2015

In the last week, we had the announcement of the 2015 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2014 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

  • Cleveland Browns = 4-12
  • Detroit Lions = 10-6
  • New York Giants = 5-11
  • Pittsburgh Steelers = 10-6

How they actually did was

  • Cleveland Browns = 7-9
  • Detroit Lions = 11-5
  • New York Giants = 6-10
  • Pittsburgh Steelers = 11-5

Pretty good, except for the Browns.

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2014 Full Results

Team ITP DP MPWLS ITPLS DPE Average
Arizona 12 – 4 3 – 13 9 – 7 10 – 6 3 – 13 7 – 9
Atlanta 15 – 1 8 – 8 4 – 12 2 – 14 10 – 6 8 – 8
Baltimore 16 – 0 3 – 13 6 – 10 8 – 8 14 – 2 9 – 7
Buffalo 2 – 14 7 – 9 6 – 10 4 – 12 4 – 12 5 – 11
Carolina 1 – 15 12 – 4 15 – 1 15 – 1 3 – 13 9 – 7
Chicago 12 – 4 3 – 13 6 – 10 9 – 7 4 – 12 7 – 9
Cincinnati 10 – 6+ 7 – 9 14 – 2 11 – 5 5 – 11 9 – 7
Cleveland 7 – 9* 4 – 12 4 – 12 3 – 13 3 – 13 4 – 12
Dallas 16 – 0 14 – 2 9 – 7 8 – 8 13 – 3 12 – 4*
Denver 10 – 6 5 – 11 16 – 0 15 – 1 11 – 5 11 – 5
Detroit 10 – 6 12 – 4 12 – 4 6 – 10 10 – 6 10 – 6
Green Bay 4 – 12 5 – 11 9 – 7 11 – 5 7 – 9 7 – 9
Houston 12 – 4 7 – 9 2 – 14 0 – 16 13 – 3 7 – 9
Indianapolis 4 – 12 9 – 7 12 – 4 14 – 2 8 – 8 9 – 7
Jacksonville 7 – 9 9 – 7 0 – 16 4 – 12 7 – 9 5 – 11
Kansas City 10 – 6 5 – 11 12 – 4 11 – 5 5 – 11 9 – 7*
Miami 13 – 3 15 – 1 9 – 7 8 – 8* 15 – 1 12 – 4
Minnesota 8 – 8 10 – 6 3 – 13 3 – 13 9 – 7 7 – 9*
New England 3 – 13 7 – 9 13 – 3 15 – 1 5 – 11 9 – 7
New Orleans 2 – 14 5 – 11 12 – 4 13 – 3 11 – 5 9 – 7
New York Giants 2 – 14 7 – 9 5 – 11 5 – 11 8 – 8 5 – 11
New York Jets 16 – 0 10 – 6 1 – 15 9 – 7 14 – 2 10 – 6
Oakland 4 – 12 9 – 7 1 – 15 1 – 15 9 – 7 5 – 11
Philadelphia 12 – 4 6 – 10 13 – 3 11 – 5 8 – 8 10 – 6*
Pittsburgh 12 – 4 10 – 6 10 – 6 8 – 8 8 – 8 10 – 6
San Diego 0 – 16 7 – 9 8 – 8 8 – 8 3 – 13 5 – 11
San Francisco 1 – 15 6 – 10 13 – 3 13 – 3 1 – 15 7 – 9
Seattle 15 – 1 9 – 7 15 – 1 16 – 0 10 – 6 13 – 3
St. Louis 6 – 10* 8 – 8 5 – 11 5 – 11 13 – 3 7 – 9
Tampa Bay 6 – 10 11 – 5 1 – 15 2 – 14* 11 – 5 6 – 10
Tennessee 0 – 16 7 – 9 9 – 7 7 – 9 3 – 13 5 – 11
Washington 8 – 8 11 – 5 2 – 14 1 – 15 8 – 8 6 – 10

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

IPT: 2.5
DP: 0
MPWLS: 0
IPTLS: 2
DPE: 0
AVG: 4

I guess there is some truth to the concept of “wisdom of crowds”.

2015

Now that the 2015 schedule is out, I have setup the 2015 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2015 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

  • Cleveland Browns = 4-12
  • Miami Dolphins = 6-10
  • St. Louis Rams = 9-7

We’ll see how those do next year.

2015 Full Predictions

Team ITP DP MPWLS ITPLS DPE Average
Arizona 11 – 5 7 – 9 8 – 8 11 – 5 5 – 11 8 – 8
Atlanta 11 – 5 6 – 10 5 – 11 5 – 11 10 – 6 7 – 9
Baltimore 9 – 7 11 – 5 14 – 2 9 – 7 3 – 13 9 – 7
Buffalo 13 – 3 12 – 4 9 – 7 9 – 7 8 – 8 10 – 6
Carolina 9 – 7 11 – 5 7 – 9 10 – 6 5 – 11 8 – 8
Chicago 12 – 4 13 – 3 3 – 13 3 – 13 6 – 10 7 – 9
Cincinnati 6 – 10 6 – 10 7 – 9 11 – 5 12 – 4 8 – 8
Cleveland 3 – 13 9 – 7 3 – 13 4 – 12 3 – 13 4 – 12
Dallas 14 – 2 8 – 8 13 – 3 15 – 1 16 – 0 13 – 3
Denver 16 – 0 9 – 7 14 – 2 16 – 0 12 – 4 13 – 3
Detroit 0 – 16 6 – 10 10 – 6 12 – 4 2 – 14 6 – 10
Green Bay 4 – 12 3 – 13 15 – 1 15 – 1 8 – 8 9 – 7
Houston 13 – 3 6 – 10 12 – 4 11 – 5 10 – 6 10 – 6
Indianapolis 4 – 12 7 – 9 14 – 2 13 – 3 7 – 9 9 – 7
Jacksonville 16 – 0 12 – 4 2 – 14 3 – 13 16 – 0 10 – 6
Kansas City 3 – 13 1 – 15 12 – 4 7 – 9 10 – 6 7 – 9
Miami 1 – 15 7 – 9 7 – 9 6 – 10 7 – 9 6 – 10
Minnesota 7 – 9 6 – 10 7 – 9 6 – 10 13 – 3 8 – 8
New England 7 – 9 6 – 10 16 – 0 14 – 2 13 – 3 11 – 5
New Orleans 2 – 14 7 – 9 9 – 7 8 – 8 6 – 10 6 – 10
New York Giants 0 – 16 1 – 15 8 – 8 5 – 11 3 – 13 3 – 13
New York Jets 10 – 6 15 – 1 4 – 12 4 – 12 6 – 10 8 – 8
Oakland 10 – 6 10 – 6 0 – 16 1 – 15 7 – 9 6 – 10
Philadelphia 5 – 11 5 – 11 13 – 3 11 – 5 10 – 6 9 – 7
Pittsburgh 0 – 16 8 – 8 9 – 7 13 – 3 2 – 14 6 – 10
San Diego 13 – 3 11 – 5 6 – 10 8 – 8 9 – 7 9 – 7
San Francisco 16 – 0 11 – 5 3 – 13 7 – 9 13 – 3 10 – 6
Seattle 3 – 13 5 – 11 16 – 0 14 – 2 7 – 9 9 – 7
St. Louis 12 – 4 12 – 4 6 – 10 3 – 13 12 – 4 9 – 7
Tampa Bay 7 – 9 8 – 8 3 – 13 1 – 15 5 – 11 5 – 11
Tennessee 3 – 13 6 – 10 1 – 15 0 – 16 1 – 15 2 – 14
Washington 16 – 0 8 – 8 0 – 16 1 – 15 9 – 7 7 – 9

I can see Dallas and Denver winning their divisions, but Jacksonville making the playoffs? So much for wise crowds.

Of course, if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void.
Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

These were the divisions of the gatekeepers of the sons of Korah and of the sons of Merari.

1 Chronicles 26:19

Digg Del.icio.us Reddit Stumble Upon

This little article thingy was written by Some Guy sometime around 6:21 am and has been carefully placed in the Sports category.

Leave a Reply

Comment moderation: please do not submit your comment multiple times, as comments are not posted until I approve them. If your comment never appears, that probably means that I didn't like your comment (maybe off topic, maybe spam, maybe not family-friendly, etc.).