NFL in April, 2017

In the last month or three, we had the announcement of the 2017 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2016 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

  • Cleveland Browns = 3-13
  • Jacksonville Jaguars = 7-9

How they actually did was

  • Cleveland Browns = 1-15
  • Jacksonville Jaguars = 3-13

Kind of close, but not that great.

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2016 Full Results

Team ITP DP MPWLS ITPLS DPE Average
Arizona Cardinals 16 – 0 11 – 5 15 – 1 15 – 1 9 – 7 13 – 3
Atlanta Falcons 10 – 6 12 – 4 9 – 7 2 – 14 11 – 5 * 9 – 7
Baltimore Ravens 10 – 6 15 – 1 4 – 12 3 – 13 11 – 5 9 – 7
Buffalo Bills 0 – 16 6 – 10 8 – 8 4 – 12 6 – 10 5 – 11
Carolina Panthers 1 – 15 5 – 11 16 – 0 16 – 0 1 – 15 8 – 8
Chicago Bears 4 – 12 4 – 12 6 – 10 9 – 7 11 – 5 7 – 9
Cincinnati Bengals 4 – 12 3 – 13 15 – 1 15 – 1 4 – 12 8 – 8
Cleveland Browns 3 – 13 3 – 13 0 – 16 3 – 13 1 – 15 * 2 – 14
Dallas Cowboys 11 – 5 7 – 9 2 – 14 1 – 15 15 – 1 7 – 9
Denver Broncos 15 – 1 10 – 6 11 – 5 15 – 1 12 – 4 13 – 3
Detroit Lions 0 – 16 4 – 12 9 – 7 * 8 – 8 1 – 15 4 – 12
Green Bay Packers 4 – 12 9 – 7 13 – 3 11 – 5 5 – 11 8 – 8
Houston Texans 13 – 3 7 – 9 10 – 6 10 – 6 15 – 1 11 – 5
Indianapolis Colts 7 – 9 8 – 8 * 3 – 13 14 – 2 3 – 13 7 – 9
Jacksonville Jaguars 16 – 0 4 – 12 6 – 10 4 – 12 4 – 12 7 – 9
Kansas City Chiefs 5 – 11 4 – 12 15 – 1 11 – 5 11 – 5 9 – 7
Miami Dolphins 8 – 8 9 – 7 3 – 13 5 – 11 13 – 3 8 – 8
Minnesota Vikings 9 – 7 11 – 5 14 – 2 3 – 13 11 – 5 10 – 6
New England Patriots 11 – 5 10 – 6 15 – 1 14 – 2 * 12 – 4 12 – 4
New Orleans Saints 14 – 2 9 – 7 4 – 12 13 – 3 15 – 1 11 – 5
New York Giants 1 – 15 8 – 8 10 – 6 5 – 11 8 – 8 6 – 10
New York Jets 15 – 1 6 – 10 9 – 7 9 – 7 10 – 6 10 – 6
Oakland Raiders 4 – 12 10 – 6 8 – 8 6 -10 7 – 9 7 – 9
Philadelphia Eagles 15 – 1 6 – 10 5 – 11 11 – 5 4 – 12 8 – 8
Pittsburgh Steelers 7 – 9 6 – 10 12 – 4 12 – 4 4 – 12 8 – 8
San Diego Chargers 0 – 16 6 – 10 3 – 13 8 – 8 4 – 12 4 – 12
San Francisco 49ers 7 – 9 10 – 6 0 – 16 1 – 15 4 – 12 4 – 12
Seattle Seahawks 9 – 7 9 – 7 12 – 4 16 – 0 13 – 3 12 – 4
St. Louis Rams 4 – 12 * 12 – 4 5 – 11 5 – 11 6 – 10 6 – 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8 – 8 7 – 9 3 – 13 2 – 14 2 – 14 4 – 12
Tennessee Titans 11 – 5 15 – 1 1 – 15 1 – 15 11 – 5 8 – 8
Washington Redskins 14 – 2 13 – 3 10 – 6 1 – 15 12 – 4 10 – 6

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

IPT: 1
DP: 1
MPWLS: 1
IPTLS: 1
DPE: 2
AVG: 0

It was a rather lackluster year for predicting outcomes, but I think that might be an anomaly.

2017

Now that the 2017 schedule is out, I have setup the 2017 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2017 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

  • Detroit Lions = 10-6
  • Miami Dolphins = 11-5
  • New York Jets = 3-13

Looks fairly reasonable, actually.

2016 Full Predictions

Team ITP DP MPWLS ITPLS DPE Average
Arizona 1 – 15 9 – 7 12 – 4 7 – 9 6 – 10 7 – 9
Atlanta 2 – 14 9 – 7 15 – 1 15 – 1 10 – 6 10 – 6
Baltimore 2 – 14 8 – 8 13 – 3 7 – 9 3 – 13 7 – 9
Buffalo 16 – 0 16 – 0 9 – 7 6 – 10 14 – 2 12 – 4
Carolina 5 – 11 5 – 11 2 – 14 3 – 13 4 – 12 4 – 12
Chicago 10 – 6 10 – 6 2 – 14 2 – 14 6 – 10 6 – 10
Cincinnati 6 – 10 7 – 9 9 – 7 4 – 12 9 – 7 7 – 9
Cleveland 16 – 0 7 – 9 0 – 16 0 – 16 15 – 1 8 – 8
Dallas 12 – 4 7 – 9 15 – 1 1 – 15 7 – 9 8 – 8
Denver 11 – 5 6 – 10 10 – 6 9 – 7 13 – 3 10 – 6
Detroit 9 – 7 10 – 6 6 – 10 10 – 6 15 – 1 10 – 6
Green Bay 13 – 3 12 – 4 11 – 5 13 – 3 6 – 10 11 – 5
Houston 7 – 9 5 – 11 4 – 12 11 – 5 11 – 5 8 – 8
Indianapolis 4 – 12 12 – 4 11 – 5 8 – 8 5 – 11 8 – 8
Jacksonville 11 – 5 7 – 9 3 – 13 2 – 14 5 – 11 6 – 10
Kansas City 14 – 2 7 – 9 15 – 1 14 – 2 9 – 7 12 – 4
Los Angeles Chargers 0 – 16 3 – 13 1 – 15 3 – 13 5 – 11 2 – 14
Los Angeles Rams 10 – 6 8 – 8 5 – 11 4 – 12 4 – 12 6 – 10
Miami 12 – 4 12 – 4 6 – 10 11 – 5 12 – 4 11 – 5
Minnesota 15 – 1 7 – 9 16 – 0 8 – 8 11 – 5 11 – 5
New England 13 – 3 5 – 11 5 – 11 16 – 0 8 – 8 9 – 7
New Orleans 0 – 16 7 – 9 11 – 5 5 – 11 5 – 11 6 – 10
New York Giants 3 – 13 7 – 9 2 – 14 14 – 2 8 – 8 7 – 9
New York Jets 3 – 13 7 – 9 12 – 4 3 – 13 3 – 13 6 – 10
Oakland 5 – 11 13 – 3 10 – 6 14 – 2 8 – 8 10 – 6
Philadelphia 8 – 8 8 – 8 13 – 3 7 – 9 12 – 4 10 – 6
Pittsburgh 0 – 16 2 – 14 5 – 11 14 – 2 6 – 10 5 – 11
San Francisco 16 – 0 7 – 9 0 – 16 0 – 16 15 – 1 8 – 8
Seattle 2 – 14 5 – 11 13 – 3 14 – 2 5 – 11 8 – 8
Tampa Bay 9 – 7 8 – 8 4 – 12 10 – 6 7 – 9 8 – 8
Tennessee 13 – 3 11 – 5 8 – 8 11 – 5 8 – 8 10 – 6
Washington 8 – 8 9 – 7 5 – 11 10 – 6 1 – 15 7 – 9

I’m glad I waited to fix the city for the Rams. This year I fixed the Rams and the Chargers to be in LA.

Enjoy the predictions, but there are caveats: if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void. Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

And this is the number of them: thirty chargers of gold, a thousand chargers of silver, nine and twenty knives,

Ezra 1:9

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This little article thingy was written by Some Guy sometime around 6:11 am and has been carefully placed in the Sports category.

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