NFL in April, 2017 •• Some Blog Site

NFL in April, 2017

Jul

2017

In the last month or three, we had the announcement of the 2017 NFL schedule. Now that we know who will play whom and when, we can start predicting wins and losses.

I keep my predictions over at Some Fun Site. View results of previous football seasons.

2016 Summary

Last year, I predicted that

Cleveland Browns = 3-13
Jacksonville Jaguars = 7-9

How they actually did was

Cleveland Browns = 1-15
Jacksonville Jaguars = 3-13

Kind of close, but not that great.

How about the methods overall?

I’m glad you asked, although you may be regretting it soon.

2016 Full Results

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona Cardinals	16 – 0	11 – 5	15 – 1	15 – 1	9 – 7	13 – 3
Atlanta Falcons	10 – 6	12 – 4	9 – 7	2 – 14	11 – 5 *	9 – 7
Baltimore Ravens	10 – 6	15 – 1	4 – 12	3 – 13	11 – 5	9 – 7
Buffalo Bills	0 – 16	6 – 10	8 – 8	4 – 12	6 – 10	5 – 11
Carolina Panthers	1 – 15	5 – 11	16 – 0	16 – 0	1 – 15	8 – 8
Chicago Bears	4 – 12	4 – 12	6 – 10	9 – 7	11 – 5	7 – 9
Cincinnati Bengals	4 – 12	3 – 13	15 – 1	15 – 1	4 – 12	8 – 8
Cleveland Browns	3 – 13	3 – 13	0 – 16	3 – 13	1 – 15 *	2 – 14
Dallas Cowboys	11 – 5	7 – 9	2 – 14	1 – 15	15 – 1	7 – 9
Denver Broncos	15 – 1	10 – 6	11 – 5	15 – 1	12 – 4	13 – 3
Detroit Lions	0 – 16	4 – 12	9 – 7 *	8 – 8	1 – 15	4 – 12
Green Bay Packers	4 – 12	9 – 7	13 – 3	11 – 5	5 – 11	8 – 8
Houston Texans	13 – 3	7 – 9	10 – 6	10 – 6	15 – 1	11 – 5
Indianapolis Colts	7 – 9	8 – 8 *	3 – 13	14 – 2	3 – 13	7 – 9
Jacksonville Jaguars	16 – 0	4 – 12	6 – 10	4 – 12	4 – 12	7 – 9
Kansas City Chiefs	5 – 11	4 – 12	15 – 1	11 – 5	11 – 5	9 – 7
Miami Dolphins	8 – 8	9 – 7	3 – 13	5 – 11	13 – 3	8 – 8
Minnesota Vikings	9 – 7	11 – 5	14 – 2	3 – 13	11 – 5	10 – 6
New England Patriots	11 – 5	10 – 6	15 – 1	14 – 2 *	12 – 4	12 – 4
New Orleans Saints	14 – 2	9 – 7	4 – 12	13 – 3	15 – 1	11 – 5
New York Giants	1 – 15	8 – 8	10 – 6	5 – 11	8 – 8	6 – 10
New York Jets	15 – 1	6 – 10	9 – 7	9 – 7	10 – 6	10 – 6
Oakland Raiders	4 – 12	10 – 6	8 – 8	6 -10	7 – 9	7 – 9
Philadelphia Eagles	15 – 1	6 – 10	5 – 11	11 – 5	4 – 12	8 – 8
Pittsburgh Steelers	7 – 9	6 – 10	12 – 4	12 – 4	4 – 12	8 – 8
San Diego Chargers	0 – 16	6 – 10	3 – 13	8 – 8	4 – 12	4 – 12
San Francisco 49ers	7 – 9	10 – 6	0 – 16	1 – 15	4 – 12	4 – 12
Seattle Seahawks	9 – 7	9 – 7	12 – 4	16 – 0	13 – 3	12 – 4
St. Louis Rams	4 – 12 *	12 – 4	5 – 11	5 – 11	6 – 10	6 – 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	8 – 8	7 – 9	3 – 13	2 – 14	2 – 14	4 – 12
Tennessee Titans	11 – 5	15 – 1	1 – 15	1 – 15	11 – 5	8 – 8
Washington Redskins	14 – 2	13 – 3	10 – 6	1 – 15	12 – 4	10 – 6

* = correct guess
+ = if you count a tie in the loss column

IPT: 1
DP: 1
MPWLS: 1
IPTLS: 1
DPE: 2
AVG: 0

It was a rather lackluster year for predicting outcomes, but I think that might be an anomaly.

2017

Now that the 2017 schedule is out, I have setup the 2017 NFL predictions. Here is my summary of the results:

2017 Summary

Consensus (3 or more methods in agreement):

Detroit Lions = 10-6
Miami Dolphins = 11-5
New York Jets = 3-13

Looks fairly reasonable, actually.

2017 Full Predictions

Team	ITP	DP	MPWLS	ITPLS	DPE	Average
Arizona	1 – 15	9 – 7	12 – 4	7 – 9	6 – 10	7 – 9
Atlanta	2 – 14	9 – 7	15 – 1	15 – 1	10 – 6	10 – 6
Baltimore	2 – 14	8 – 8	13 – 3	7 – 9	3 – 13	7 – 9
Buffalo	16 – 0	16 – 0	9 – 7	6 – 10	14 – 2	12 – 4
Carolina	5 – 11	5 – 11	2 – 14	3 – 13	4 – 12	4 – 12
Chicago	10 – 6	10 – 6	2 – 14	2 – 14	6 – 10	6 – 10
Cincinnati	6 – 10	7 – 9	9 – 7	4 – 12	9 – 7	7 – 9
Cleveland	16 – 0	7 – 9	0 – 16	0 – 16	15 – 1	8 – 8
Dallas	12 – 4	7 – 9	15 – 1	1 – 15	7 – 9	8 – 8
Denver	11 – 5	6 – 10	10 – 6	9 – 7	13 – 3	10 – 6
Detroit	9 – 7	10 – 6	6 – 10	10 – 6	15 – 1	10 – 6
Green Bay	13 – 3	12 – 4	11 – 5	13 – 3	6 – 10	11 – 5
Houston	7 – 9	5 – 11	4 – 12	11 – 5	11 – 5	8 – 8
Indianapolis	4 – 12	12 – 4	11 – 5	8 – 8	5 – 11	8 – 8
Jacksonville	11 – 5	7 – 9	3 – 13	2 – 14	5 – 11	6 – 10
Kansas City	14 – 2	7 – 9	15 – 1	14 – 2	9 – 7	12 – 4
Los Angeles Chargers	0 – 16	3 – 13	1 – 15	3 – 13	5 – 11	2 – 14
Los Angeles Rams	10 – 6	8 – 8	5 – 11	4 – 12	4 – 12	6 – 10
Miami	12 – 4	12 – 4	6 – 10	11 – 5	12 – 4	11 – 5
Minnesota	15 – 1	7 – 9	16 – 0	8 – 8	11 – 5	11 – 5
New England	13 – 3	5 – 11	5 – 11	16 – 0	8 – 8	9 – 7
New Orleans	0 – 16	7 – 9	11 – 5	5 – 11	5 – 11	6 – 10
New York Giants	3 – 13	7 – 9	2 – 14	14 – 2	8 – 8	7 – 9
New York Jets	3 – 13	7 – 9	12 – 4	3 – 13	3 – 13	6 – 10
Oakland	5 – 11	13 – 3	10 – 6	14 – 2	8 – 8	10 – 6
Philadelphia	8 – 8	8 – 8	13 – 3	7 – 9	12 – 4	10 – 6
Pittsburgh	0 – 16	2 – 14	5 – 11	14 – 2	6 – 10	5 – 11
San Francisco	16 – 0	7 – 9	0 – 16	0 – 16	15 – 1	8 – 8
Seattle	2 – 14	5 – 11	13 – 3	14 – 2	5 – 11	8 – 8
Tampa Bay	9 – 7	8 – 8	4 – 12	10 – 6	7 – 9	8 – 8
Tennessee	13 – 3	11 – 5	8 – 8	11 – 5	8 – 8	10 – 6
Washington	8 – 8	9 – 7	5 – 11	10 – 6	1 – 15	7 – 9

I’m glad I waited to fix the city for the Rams. This year I fixed the Rams and the Chargers to be in LA.

Enjoy the predictions, but there are caveats: if any major player gets injured, that team’s projected results are void. Also, if any roster has changed from last year, that team’s projected results are void. Same thing with new coaches.

And this is the number of them: thirty chargers of gold, a thousand chargers of silver, nine and twenty knives,

Ezra 1:9